La Nina effects where you grow palms?

(@terdalfarm)

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On another thread we got into a discussion about La Nina and what it might mean for this winter. That might affect how we prepare for palm winter protection (what and when). I've been doing a little online reasearch on that during my lunch break.

The first thread I found was from my state's official meteorology source, "mesonet." You folks up north won't like it: it calls for the price of Oklahoma natural gas to go up as you buy it to heat your houses. It does call for generally warmer and drier than normal conditions down here:

http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/news

For a video explanation, I found this clip from a local TV meteorologist in Oklahoma City:

http://www.koco.com/weather/25303204/detail.html

In brief, I wish I lived in Texas, but better in OK than Ontario!

So, what do you folks think La Nina will bring you for Christmas?

--Erik

Posted : 11/10/2010 1:35 pm

hardyjim

(@hardyjim)

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Thanks Erik

It would be nice to see a map of the U.S. showing the
typical effects of La Nina

Posted : 11/10/2010 3:56 pm

coltrane

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Here are some rather crude versions. A little outdated, but I think they show typical patterns.

http://www.usatoday.com/weather/climate/winter99.htm

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensocycle/nawinter.shtml

Posted : 11/10/2010 5:25 pm

TerdalFarm

(@terdalfarm)

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Thanks! Those were good.
Does anyone else have some research to share?

Posted : 11/10/2010 6:34 pm

TerdalFarm

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The NOAA has done my research for me (hey, that's what I pay taxes for).
This link goes to their October 21 press release, which has links to details.
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2010/20101021_winteroutlook.html
Short version: looking better and better for me! 😀
--Erik

Posted : 23/10/2010 9:18 am

lucky1

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coltrane, that usatoday link is still talking about the last la Nina...

This may be more current, but the forecast of a wetter west coast Canada seems to only be true for Vancouver.
They're expecting a huge amount of rain in the next three days...we're inland on the other side of Coast mountains.
Drier than popcorn here.
The interior needs rain...big time.

http://www.wakulla.com/Wakulla_News/Local_News/National_Weather_Service_Winter%10Dry-Season_Outlook_for_2010-11_2010102110906/

Barb

If you drink, don't drive. Don't even putt.

Posted : 23/10/2010 12:17 pm

TerdalFarm

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Barb,
hope you get that rain.
It has been dry here, too--we were 4" down for the YTD, but it is raining right now. Warm rain, but the winds are shredding Musa leaves. Oh well--they were not long for the world anyways. --Erik

Posted : 23/10/2010 12:23 pm

lucky1

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Thanks Erik.
Me too...but only after I finish painting the hut.

Based on the "wakulla" link , your f'cast is "equal chances". Huh?
Presume it refers to a repeat of last winter?

Yup, musa and winds don't get along at all.
I gave up and donated my musa to John in Kelowna.
He's in a more sheltered area than my place.

Barb

If you drink, don't drive. Don't even putt.

Posted : 23/10/2010 12:39 pm

hardyjim

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Thanks Erik.

Based on the "wakulla" link , your f'cast is "equal chances". Huh?
Presume it refers to a repeat of last winter?

Barb

I believe it basically means normal,although what there saying is,could be warmer,could be cooler-
to me that means in the middle.

Posted : 24/10/2010 1:51 pm